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How to Read the Fed: A Rate-Watcher's Cheat Sheet

Sep 17, 2026

How to Read the Fed

The Federal Open Market Committee sets the Fed Funds target range eight times a year. The statement, the press conference, and the dot plot all move markets.

What to listen for

  • The target range itself.
  • Language about inflation ("disinflation", "persistent").
  • Changes to the balance sheet ("QT").
  • The dot plot median for the year ahead.

Why it matters for your cash

A hawkish tone keeps deposit rates high. A dovish pivot means today's APYs may be the best you see for a while — a reason to lock CDs.

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